Richardson et al. (Sci Bull, 2015. doi:10.1007/s11434-015-0806-z) suggest that the irreducibly simple climate model described in Monckton of Brenchley et al. (Sci Bull 60:122–135, 2015. doi:10.1007/s11434-014-0699-2) was not validated against observations, relying instead on synthetic test data based on underestimated global warming, illogical parameter choice and near-instantaneous response at odds with ocean warming and other observations. However, the simple model, informed by its authors’ choice of parameters, usually hindcasts observed temperature change more closely than the general-circulation models, and finds high climate sensitivity implausible.
Keeping It Simple
The Value of an Irreducibly Simple Climate Model
Originally published in Science Bulletin Thu. August 6, 2015
David R. Legates is a Research Fellow at the Independent Institute, retired Professor of Climatology in the Department of Geography and a retired Adjunct Professor in the Department of Applied Economics and Statistics at the University of Delaware.
William M. Briggs has served as Professor of Statistics at the Cornell University Medical School and Visiting Professor of Mathematics at Central Michigan University.
Christopher Monckton is the 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley in the United Kingdom.
Climate ChangeEnergyEnergy and the EnvironmentEnvironmental Law and RegulationNatural ResourcesPollutionScience and Public Policy
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